With distances between possible habitable planets or even
between resource-rich planets used for stopovers or as some other type of
outpost being of the order of tens of light years, communication between
planets in different solar systems is of a very different character than
communication within a solar system. In
a local environment like a solar system, travel times are a few hours at most,
and may be only minutes for close-in planets.
In this environment, communication back and forth is little different
than communication via certain media on a single planet. For us, it would be like getting emails. But with, say, 20 years between messages,
communication like this is absurd and therefore, only a few special types of
situations would involve it.
One situation that has already
been discussed is exploration and colonization. The least expensive way to get initial
close-in information about a potentially useful exo-planet is to do a
high-speed fly-by. Then the fuel needed
to decelerate the probe is not needed, and this drops the weight and size
requirements considerably. But unless
the probe can communicate back to the sending planet, and transmit quite a lot
of data, the probe would have to decelerate and return home with its collected
information. No fly-by means a lot more
expense, including design work, testing, equipping and so on. So it would be important to see if
communication between different star systems is possible, and if it is, is it
possible at a data rate high enough to be useful.
A consequent question is how big and massive a
communications package would have to be.
For an sufficiently intelligent autonomous probe, there would be no need
to make a receiver on the probe, only a transmitter to send the collected data
back to the originating planet, and perhaps some status signals to let them
know that things are going as planned and that there is no need to send a
replacement. If the equipment, including
pointing control, antennas or integral transmitters, signal generators, power
supplies and fuel, and anything else an advanced civilization would build into
the system, is more massive than the burden involved in deceleration and return
of the probe, then communication is not necessarily a good option. It does cut down the time, as a probe that
decelerates starting half-way through its voyage will have a longer travel time
than one which accelerates all the way there or which cruises for the second
half of the voyage, and getting the message back by speed-of-light
communications is much faster than having the probe make the return voyage
home. The difference in time is measured
in centuries.
It is hard to make analogies between Earth’s situation and that
of an advanced civilization, past the asymptotic technology transition. Nevertheless, here we have grown accustomed
to waiting years for an interplanetary probe to reach its destination and
communicate back pictures and scientific measurements of the planet. The Pluto probe, New Horizons, has a
nine-year flight trajectory. Perhaps an
advanced civilization, with probably markedly greater longevity, could tolerate
a 400 year probe return with no repercussions.
Such a civilization should be completely stable, so questions of whether
an organization to manage the probe or even a nation might exist at the return
time of the probe are not relevant. If
the civilization is one with an expansion meme, there might be some pressure to
take the fastest solution, but the launch would likely be after a long period
of stability, and so social pressure for anything may be almost non-existent
and the best solution for the probe design, measured in reliability, data
capture capability, total mass, consumption of resources, or whatever matters,
should be the basis for the choice of design.
In other words, nothing much changes in the society so there is no
hunger for faster change.
The other situation previously
discussed that could make very good use of interstellar communication is
that of deterrence. The timing of this
is unlikely, but it could be possible that there are two interstellar
civilizations in proximity, and at least one of them is predatory, by which we
mean that it would like to eradicate the other and occupy its home world or
collection of colonized planets. The
other civilization, either being predatory and in conflict with the first, or
non-predatory and wanting to be left alone, might want to depend on deterrence
to prevent the first from carrying out the eradication. It seems that one likely type of weapon for
interstellar conflict would be large explosive devices, and the second
civilization would want to detect the attack on itself with enough warning so
it could do what it could for passive defense, and what it could for active
defense, but also counterstrike. With a
counterstrike capability, some deterrence exists.
Two different situations can be distinguished. The two civilizations could exist in about
the same numbers, meaning worlds occupied and inhabited, or one could be
substantially larger than the other.
Remember that there is not likely to be any trade whatsoever between the
different worlds with the same origin planet.
The economics are prohibitive for resources transfers, and all the
worlds have the same background, and asymptotic technology has penetrated art
and anything else that more primitive cultures might trade, so that there is
nothing traveling between the worlds with the same origin, those of one
civilization entirely, and they are roughly independent. There may be traditions, but governing a
planet from 20 light years away is hard to envision.
The situation where one civilization is on
the edge of the expanding wave of colonized planets of the other, perhaps
older, civilization is more intriguing. The simpler case should be discussed first.
If there is only one planet or solar system each for the two
civilizations, deterrence might be done by having surveillance posts somewhere
in each other’s solar system, monitoring for the launch of attack vessels in
the direction of the other world. The
surveillance posts can be covert, if possible, as destroying them would disable
deterrence and allow an attack to proceed with much less warning. Alternatively, they could be known and built
under some agreement. But agreements can
be broken and they could be destroyed.
Thus, there are some unique requirements for a surveillance
station. It should, first and foremost,
be designed to provide a warning signal with a very high confidence. The signal is something that says “Attack”
when an attack is detected. The station
needs to be defended or at least its neighborhood monitored for incoming vessels or beamed weapons so that an attack on the station cannot be done without the “Attack”
signal being issued with high reliability and high confidence that it will be
received.
Since the attacks take decades to conclude, while the
explosive devices travel to the other civilization’s planet, there is plenty of
time to act. Similar explosive devices
could be launched toward the other civilization’s planet. This is the essence of what we used to call,
during the Cold War here on Earth, Mutual Assured Destruction. If it works, no one attacks.
To guard against the possibility of a surprise attack being
successful on the surveillance monitor station, some things might be done. One is to have several, each monitoring the
others. Another is to have ‘Peace’
messages send out from each surveillance station to the origin world. There would have to be sufficient encryption
on both the ‘Peace’ message and the ‘Attack’ message that they could not be
duplicated, and of course, high degrees of security so that the cryptography
could not be compromised. This also provides
a defense against a cloaking attack, where the predatory nation detonates
something to make a cloud of absorbing particles on the line of sight from the
surveillance station to the origin world.
The requirements for interstellar communication between a
surveillance station and its home world are quite different than for that of an
expeditionary probe. A coded message
must be sent, perhaps several times a year, only containing a single binary bit
of information: ‘Peace’ or ‘Attack’. The
power transmission requirements might be the same, or perhaps of higher power
for more assurance with surveillance. A
probe can be done over. A defense
cannot.
The alternative situation described above, where one
civilization is outnumbered by the colonized worlds of the other, calls for
some discrimination. Which of the worlds
of the larger civilization does the threatened civilization point its deterrent
weapons against? Can it provide
surveillance stations on all of them? Is
there some distance limit, so that it monitors those within 40 light years but
not the other further ones? Does it need
to provide deterrence against a simultaneous attack by multiple worlds of the
larger civilization?
These two scenarios provide us with some ideas of what the
requirements for alien interstellar communication are. Is it possible, with the limited
knowledge of technology we have, that some conclusions can be made about what
is feasible for meeting these requirements and what is not? It remains to be seen, but not in this
post. However, if we knew, we might have
a better idea of what to look for in the galaxy as a signature of an advanced civilization
and therefore this is an interesting area to explore.
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